Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.027268 0.029364 0.031469 0.033740 0.036118 0.038529 0.041158
2025-12-07 0.022787 0.026026 0.029402 0.033172 0.037249 0.041513 0.046297
2025-12-14 0.019839 0.023683 0.027800 0.032511 0.037724 0.043289 0.049652
2025-12-21 0.017509 0.021739 0.026381 0.031805 0.037921 0.044561 0.052271
2025-12-28 0.016473 0.021123 0.026326 0.032507 0.039583 0.047364 0.056504
2026-01-04 0.015247 0.020180 0.025804 0.032594 0.040475 0.049246 0.059659
2026-01-11 0.014085 0.019225 0.025191 0.032504 0.041104 0.050781 0.062381
2026-01-18 0.013481 0.018891 0.025269 0.033184 0.042593 0.053277 0.066183
2026-01-25 0.012541 0.018085 0.024730 0.033089 0.043136 0.054653 0.068676
2026-02-01 0.011718 0.017376 0.024265 0.033043 0.043706 0.056034 0.071158
2026-02-08 0.010938 0.016676 0.023774 0.032931 0.044168 0.057267 0.073449
2026-02-15 0.010218 0.016014 0.023297 0.032804 0.044587 0.058431 0.075646
2026-02-22 0.009501 0.015360 0.022850 0.032758 0.045168 0.059872 0.078287
2026-03-01 0.008607 0.014428 0.022020 0.032215 0.045137 0.060591 0.080097
2026-03-08 0.007753 0.013497 0.021143 0.031567 0.044936 0.061074 0.081599
2026-03-15 0.006959 0.012597 0.020263 0.030874 0.044643 0.061417 0.082907
2026-03-22 0.006725 0.012494 0.020446 0.031563 0.046097 0.063905 0.086828
2026-03-29 0.006300 0.012082 0.020185 0.031647 0.046767 0.065418 0.089555
2026-04-05 0.005851 0.011604 0.019810 0.031560 0.047200 0.066626 0.091904
2026-04-12 0.005672 0.011532 0.019998 0.032227 0.048611 0.069061 0.095775
2026-04-19 0.005274 0.011090 0.019639 0.032133 0.049016 0.070223 0.098067
2026-04-26 0.004918 0.010694 0.019328 0.032088 0.049474 0.071446 0.100431
2026-05-03 0.004568 0.010285 0.018980 0.031978 0.049834 0.072536 0.102627